Climate Change & the Russian Heatwave—Coming Soon to Your Bread Aisle

Posted on August 7, 2010

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Among of the fondest myths of climate change is that there are going to be winners and losers from climate change.  And, if you remember, one of those winners was supposed to be Russia.

Russia, the country which is burning down, with a plume of smoke obscuring its skies big enough to reach from San Francisco to Chicago.

Russia, one of the four most important wheat exporting countries globally, and which just cancelled all wheat exports this year.

Maybe climate change won’t be so hunky dory for Russia.

Nor are the consequences of climate change—as the above-mentioned myth of winners and losers implies—possible to quarantine.  For instance, when Russia announced that it wasn’t going to be exporting wheat this year, the worldwide market price of wheat immediately doubled.

The Russian drought—coming soon to a bagel near you.

Heatwave Update, August 7th

Temperature Records, News & Changes Since August 2nd

The following places have set heat records, or increased their heat records, since my last heatwave update August 2nd.  Two countries, the Ukraine and Belarus, have matched or exceeded national high temperature records in the last five days, bringing this year’s already-record-breaking total up to seventeen.

[Place where record set (Country) record in Celsius (record in Fahrenheit)]

  • Arar (Saudi Arabia) max. 49 (120.2) [NEW]
  • Bogorodskoe (Russia) max. 37.1 > 38.7 > 39 (97.8 > 101.7 > 102.2)
  • Bogucar (Russia) max. 41.6 > 41.9 (106.9 > 107.4)
  • Bragin (Belarus) max. 37.9 (100.2) [NEW]
  • Cerepovec (Russia) max. 35.7 > 36.2 (96.3 >97.2)
  • Changde (China) max. 40.3 (104.5) [NEW]
  • Chechersk (Belarus) max. 36.8 (98.2) [NEW]
  • Donetsk (Ukraine) 38.1 (100.6) [NEW]
  • Elat’Ma (Russia) max. 38.3 > 39 > 39.3 (100.9 > 102.2 > 102.7)
  • Elec (Russia) max. 38.5 > 38.7 > 39.8 > 41.1 (101.3 > 101.7 > 103.6 > 106)
  • Ezerische (Belarus) max. 35.1 (95.2) [NEW]
  • Gomel (Belarus) max. 38.4 (101.1) [NEW]
  • Gorki (Belarus) max. 38.7 (101.7) New national record high for Belarus. [NEW]
  • Johvi (Estonia) max. 33.7 (92.7) [NEW]
  • Jvaskyla Airport (Finland) max. 34.2 (93.6) [NEW]
  • Kalac (Russia) max. 41.5 > 41.7 (106.7 > 107.1)
  • Kharkov (Ukraine) max. 39.3 (102.7) [NEW]
  • Kostjvkovici (Belarus) max. 37.5 > 38.5 (99.5 > 101.3) [NEW]
  • Kursk (Russia) max. 37.2 > 38.4 > 38.5 (99 > 101.1 > 101.3)
  • Lingling (China) max. 40.3 (104.5) [NEW]
  • Lukhansk (Ukraine) max. 41.3 (106.3) New national record high for Ukraine (tie 2007) 1 August 2010

“…the global impact of the European heat wave will come through the wheat market. The major source of uncertainty is the supply, or lack of it, from the Black Sea region, especially from Russia, Ukraine and Kazakhstan.” – Wall St. Journal.

 

http://online.wsj.com/article/SB30001424052748703545604575406744149559092.html

  • Moscow Vnukovo (Russia) max. 37.3 > 37.4 > 38.1 (99.1 > 99.3 > 100.6)

Moscow’s previous highest temperature, set in 1920, was 99 degrees F.  In the last eleven days, the temperature in Moscow has exceeded 100 degrees F.  a total of five times.

  • Oparino (Russia) max. 35.3 (95.5) [NEW]
  • Orel (Russia) max. 38.7 > 39 (101.7 > 102.2)
  • Orsha (Belarus) max. 38.2 (100.8) [NEW]
  • Penza (Russia) max. 40 > 40.6 > 40.7 (104 > 105.1 > 105.3)
  • Raahe (Finland) max. 33.5 (92.3) [NEW]
  • This photo shows smoke and fires near Moscow and Rjazan.

  • Rjazan “Razan’” (Russia) max. 38.9 > 39.2 > 39.5 (102 > 102.6 > 103.1)
  • Roslavi (Russia) max. 36.4 > 36.5 (97.5 > 97.7)
  • Senno (Belarus) max. 37 (98.6) [NEW]
  • Shaoyang (China) max. 40.2 (104.4) [NEW]
  • Slavgorod (Belarus) max. 37.8 (100) [NEW]
  • Smolensk (Russia) max. 34.4 > 37.2 (93.9 > 99)
  • Suhinici (Russia) max. 37.2 > 37.8 (99 > 100)
  • Tabuk (Saudi Arabia) max. 46 (115) [NEW]
  • Trubcevsk (Russia) max. 37.6 > 37.8 (99.7 > 100)
  • Ulan Ude (Russia) max. 40 (104) [NEW]
  • Vitebsk (Belarus) max. 37.7 (99.9) [NEW]
  • Vjaz ma (Russia) max. 37.9 > 38.1 (100.2 > 100.6)
  • Yichun (China) max. 40.2 (104.4) [NEW]
  • Zaporozhye (Ukraine) 38.9 (102) [NEW]

————————–

Sources:

Extreme temperatures around the world, 30 July 2010. Updated 3 & 7 August 2010.

http://www.mherrera.org/temp.htm

Dr. Jeff Masters, Weather Blog:  Weather Underground

http://www.wunderground.com/blog/JeffMasters/article.html

Posted in: climate change